• ETH faces significant resistance at $2,843, $2,905, and $2,927 levels.
• Breaking these levels could ignite an 11% rally towards $3,236.
• Failure to hold support may trigger a 4.6% decline, retesting $2,510.

Ethereum (ETH) is currently navigating a crucial juncture as it faces significant resistance that could determine its next major move. After encountering resistance around $2,843, which aligns with the 50% price retracement level, ETH has pulled back slightly and is now trading at $2,737.

This price action is happening in the shadow of two more key resistance levels; the daily resistance at $2,927 and the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $2,905. For ETH to sustain its upward momentum, it must decisively break through these barriers.

Critical Resistance Levels and Potential Upside

ETH is facing a tough battle as it tries to climb above $2,843. This level is crucial because it coincides with the 50-day EMA at $2,905 and a strong daily resistance at $2,927.

Should Ethereum manage to close above these levels, it could ignite an 11% rally. This rally would likely push ETH towards the next significant resistance at $3,236, a level it hasn’t tested in some time.

However, this potential upside hinges on the strength of the current momentum, which remains in question. Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Awesome Oscillator (AO) on the daily chart are hovering just below their neutral levels of 50 and zero, respectively.

These indicators are vital in confirming the strength of any bullish move. If they can climb above these neutral levels, it would signal that bullish momentum is building, making a rally more likely.

Risks to the Downside

On the flip side, if ETH fails to hold above the ascending trendline, it could signal a shift in market sentiment. A breakdown below this trendline would invalidate the bullish outlook and could trigger a 4.6% decline.

This move would likely send Ethereum back to retest its August 12 low of $2,510, erasing much of the progress made in recent weeks. Such a scenario would be a bearish signal and could lead to further declines if buyers do not step in to support the price.